Tuesday, May 22, 2012

Collaborating to Conquer Cancer; June 1 - 5, McCormick Place, Chicago


Full-text versions of Plenary, Late-Breaking, and Clinical Review Abstracts will be publically released on the day of their presentation at the Meeting.

Friday, May 18, 2012

POTC is Analyzing Jim Chanos's Red Bet on Coinstar Inc. (CSTR)

With our trusted options trading microscopes plugged in at an undisclosed location for reasons of Security, our team is studying Jim Chanos's bearish bet on CSTR

 A special inter-Q Trade Alert on CSTR will be sent on Wednesday, June 6th. at  7 PM ET. 

If you are not a subscriber but want to receive this educational write-up, please use Paypal in the right margin.

Thursday, May 17, 2012

Facebook IPO Could be Delayed..

Our sources tell us that 'deteriorating market conditions' could force  lead underwriter Morgan Stanley to delay the Facebook IPO. Morgan Stanley's brass is 'flustered' with the  equity selloff today; nearly 12 consecutive days of losses. Rumors are that if the S&P breaks below 1,300 by tomorrow (Friday) morning, Facebook's IPO will be shelved until more favorable market conditions.

Thanks, POTC-

Sunday, May 6, 2012

Dalio, Icahn, and Simons Beat Out All Hedge Fund Moneymakers in 2011

The global economy may still be in recovery mode, but the hedge fund industry’s top 25 managers are doing just fine. They took home a combined $14.4 billion in 2011, according to AR magazine’s annual Rich List survey of the world’s top-earning hedge fund managers. The average pay for the top 25 was $576 million, according to the ranking, which appears in the April issue of AR.
The richest managers were not immune to market volatility, however. Last year’s total
compensation for the 25 top earners fell nearly 35 percent from more than $22 billion in 2010, and disappointing hedge fund performance played a large role in the steep decline.
The HedgeFund Intelligence Global Composite Index lost 2.01 percent last year.
“Hedge fund managers are paid high fees to deliver positive absolute returns, regardless
of the direction of the markets,” says Michael Peltz, editor of both AR and Institutionalmagazines. “In 2011, the majority of managers failed to do that.”
Several managers bucked that trend, led by Raymond Dalio, the founder of Westport,
Connecticut–based Bridgewater Associates. Dalio is the top hedge fund moneymaker for
2011, with earnings of nearly $4 billion. Bridgewater is now the largest hedge fund firm
in the world, with $70 billion in hedge fund assets and $120 billion in total assets under
Corporate-raider-turned-activist-investor Carl Icahn takes second place, with a $2.5
billion payday in 2011. Though he returned capital to outside investors in the first half of
2011, his full-year gains of 34.5 percent before fees enabled him to qualify for this year’s
Renaissance Technologies Corp. founder James Simons, No. 3 on the list, also benefited
from strong performance, ending the year with a $2.1 billion paycheck. Though Simons
is retired from the East Setauket, New York firm, he still has a large percentage of his
personal capital invested in Renaissance’s hedge funds, which produced big gains last
The top five moneymakers for 2011 were:
1. Raymond Dalio (Bridgewater Associates) $3.9 billion
2. Carl Icahn (Icahn Capital Management) $2.5 billion
3. James Simons (Renaissance Technologies Corp.) $2.1 billion
4. Kenneth Griffin (Citadel) $700 million
5. Steven Cohen (SAC Capital Advisors) $585 million
Several managers turned in tepid performances in 2011, but that didn’t stop them from
qualifying for this year’s Rich List. No fewer than 11 managers made the list despite
posting only single-digit gains in their funds. This is partly because these managers have
much of their personal wealth tied up in their funds, but also because their firms’ assets
have grown so large that income generated from management fees — typically 1 to 2
percent of a firm’s assets — became a huge profit center.
The tough markets in 2011 led to a major shakeup of the Rich List this year. The majority
of last year’s winners — some 15 managers — fell off the list. The most high profile of
these is Paulson & Co. founder John Paulson, who failed to make the Rich List for the
first time since 2007 after some of his firm’s hedge funds generated losses of between 30
and 50 percent.
There is no shortage of fresh faces on this year’s Rich List. Eight managers on the list are
newcomers, demonstrating that even in challenging markets it’s still possible to generate
outsize returns. They include Bridgewater co-chief investment officers Greg Jensen and
Robert Prince, and Paul Singer of Elliott Management Corp.
This year marks the 11th year of the Rich List ranking, which started in the pages of

Institutional Investor magazine, before migrating to AR. To be included on this year’s manager had to earn $100 million, the lowest number in four years. The full list of the 25 top hedge fund moneymakers 2011 appears in the April issue of AR and can be found on the AR website, http://www.absolutereturn-alpha.com/.

'I am POTC-'

Friday, May 4, 2012

Bulls Bloodied; Wealth Leveling Cycle from West to East Continues; Fiscal, Monetary, Overreaching Govt Policies Offer No Help

Thanks to all our subscribers. We had an educational and successful Quarter as we were net bearish.

Our two S&P Directional Alerts warned subscribers at 1,412 and at 1,420 that 'We Did Not Feel Comfortable Above 1,400'; that turned out to be prophetic and profitable for many. 

We sent out long-term write-ups on AeroVironment (AVAV) and Abbott Laboratories (ABT) and a follow-up on AVAV is scheduled for Sunday, May 13.

Our team will continue to work extreme hours and send  educational, dynamic, and sometimes profitable ideas

Yet we stress that our business was designed for educational purposes; POTC is neither a registered Investment Advisor or Broker Dealer as outlined in the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. 

Every educational Trade Alert reminds that trading options and futures is extremely risky and large losses should be expected, a Govt Options and Futures disclaimer is always attached.  

We are a group of experienced traders with interesting life experiences and educational backgrounds that love digging for off-the-beaten path information and then teaching aggressive trading strategies. 

Our DNA is to Stand Up for Liberty; politics played a key role in starting the blog in early 2008 and now everyone has witnessed the maddening global Govt overreach into our lives. You can expect our Political Correspondent, Capitalist Pig Bob, to always express his heartfelt and Independent opinions. The rest of our team agrees with a majority (89%+) of what the Pig writes.

Our 11 Commandments were designed and continue to be refined to increase reward, decrease risk while employing very aggressive strategies.

We do no multi-legged trades and rarely follow the direction of the masses, for too long at least. 

We consider most Wall Street analysts no different than the naive African Wildebeest;  we only follow wise analysts that are free thinkers and have the ability to issue Sell recommendations. The 'Yes men and women' that only recommend Buy can be compared to Street prostitutes; and many Wall Street firms are equivalent to legal Pimps.  

We are contrarians and cynics by nature. Some corp executives rape shareholder wealth instead of increase it, STEC and LIOX are just two examples yet there are fiscally retarded men that continue to Buy and Hold such cos.

Most on the POTC team would prefer spending a day walking, fishing, and swimming some crystal clear and 'clean' river than driving an expensive Italian sports car down Santa Monica Blvd. We believe in fiscal Liberty for All, financial greed is not a bad thing if you use it to help family, friends, and strangers. And we do respect the choice of Hindu Sadhus as well.

Subscribers received bearish information on: AAPL, BIDU, DECK, PCLN, TPX, and WTW in the last several days - weeks, and we know that many are profiting.

If you are not a subscriber but appreciate Independent research with a human touch that  marries charts, fundamentalsconference calls, politics, and several other factors most analysts do not handicap, you should enjoy your subscription to Psychology of the Call.

If you are considering a subscription and have any questions, please send them to: Psychologyofthecall@gmail.com

Otherwise please use Paypal in the right margin.

Adam, Des, Frank, Lisa, and Dallas Pig Bob are your POTC team.

"I am POTC-"