Thursday, May 30, 2013

American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO); Potential Trading Setups & Hope Ahead...

POTC has spent several days studying biotechs scheduled to report Efficacy & Safety data from Phase I, II, and III trials at the ASCO (Building Bridges to Conquer Cancer) meeting: Friday, May 31 - Tuesday, June 4 in Chicago. 


The release of this data points is sensitive and confidential and hence related stocks could react Up or Down; you would be wise to monitor this Event.

ASCO annual meeting offers small  - mega-caps a venue to present breakthroughs in cancer research, prevention, treatment and cures. Cancer patients, survivors, corporate executives, Wall Street analysts, diligent investors and wise options traders anticipate this 5-day event. 


We Hope that some hard breakthroughs are near for the men, women, and the families of those suffering from different types of cancers.

Thank You,
POTC-
Psychologyofthecall@gmail.com
http://psychologyofthecall.blogspot.com

Monday, May 27, 2013

The U.S. Soldier puts 'Life' in Perspective on Memorial Day

If not for the men and women who served the United States during Wartime, we would not have the privilege to trade.

Today's fickle free-market system is under siege from the Collectivists currently in power, yet we are confident that our men and women did not die in vain and Capitalism will thrive again~

May God bless every man, woman, and the family of the soldier who has served the United States as well as the ones currently fighting for our freedoms

Highest Regards, Hurrah!
POTC-

Sunday, May 26, 2013

Post Earnings Educational Trade Alert (PEETA) the Best Stock Options Strategy; Congratulations on a Successful Q2

We had a very Educational and Profitable Q2. We pegged Friday PEETA Direction correctly 6 of 6 times and most of our partners booked profits in 3 - 5 PEETAs. We have never received so many congratulatory emails. Hard work is paying off!
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If you have any Questions please send them to: Psychologyofthecall@gmail.com
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One PEETA did not trigger because our Entry parameters were too strict. The worst PEETA returned 70% and best 700%. We missed one Entry by $0.02 as we set an electronic Buy Limit at $0.50, the calls traded down to $0.52 and then staged a reversal without us, just two more pennies and we would have had the opportunity to book 2,500% profits within our 6-1/2 hour window to expiration PEETA. But there were traders who followed our bullish Direction and bought with market orders.
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A relentless dedication to be #1 with sleepless nights during the PEETA earnings season is beginning to pay off. We must continue to work hard on the art of Entering on Friday morning; pegging bearish or bullish Direction was spectacular in Q2 as well as the previous Q. Our Educational follow-ups of Lessons Learned and Trading Nuggets have never been as in-depth and our desire to Educate has never been stronger.
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Our focus going forward is crystal clear, it will be on the
Friday, 
6-1/2 hour to weekly or monthly expiration PEETA.
And we are not shocked at our recent success since we believe that honest & hard work eventually pays off. Some feel we go over-the-top with our Educational efforts and we take that as a compliment.
We believe our esoteric PEETA will become the #1 options trading strategy for a select group of individuals by 2014. We have placed a cap on subscriptions and will only service a limited amount of people to this very effective options strategy.
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We will continue to weave new dynamics related to Time & Price Entry parameters for our  PEETA; higher Quality standards and less Quantity of trades should be the safer and more rewarding path going forward~
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POTC is too busy to look behind our shoulders at the competition. We are confident that the breadth of our PEETA database with the tone of the live earnings conference call sessions logged makes this blog the go-to Source for post-earnings Directional trading.
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Other Position Trading Highlights in Q2:
Our bearish macro call on gold above $1,540/oz and Newmont Mining (NEM) April $35 puts when shares were at $41.00+ returned up to 1,400% profits but based on individual average timing many booked solid 700% profits within 4-weeks. We sent 3 separate emails warning of a possible gold and miner breakdown and specifically fingered NEM puts at $0.20 in the initial educational alert; those puts proceeded to nearly $3.00.
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Our bearish short-term S/P Directional Alert was a success as we sent it with less than 1-1/2 hours to go on Tuesday, ahead of Wednesday's selloff marked by Bernanke's testimony. Yet  we believe the selloff was a long overdue technical phenomenon  and not assumptions. Our assumptions in Q2 were stellar.
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Behavioral psychology as related to the Q&A session on the post-earnings conference call (CC) often determines price-per-share due to the 2 pm ET FOMC minutes release as Jim Cramer told his flock on that Wednesday. Shame on Jim Cramer for missing that nugget. The S/P began tiring during Bernanke's Q&A session and the FOMC minutes were merely used an an excuse by the permabulls that believe Bernanke is doing a great job; we disagree.  .
Our Political Correspondent Capitalist Pig Bob argues that there must be less onerous legislation on the private sector, especially Banking and Energy for an organic and  sustainable economic recovery to grip and build, as well as more give on the fiscal (tax) side.
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Bernanke's monetary policies will be proven flawed and only appear short-term 'effective',  fooling well-meaning men like Larry Kudlow, as stocks rise due to Zero Interest-Rate Policy (ZIRP). There is no place to go if an individual is interested in a paper-yield other than stocks, while the foundational fissures related to the ballooning National Debt and unsustainable  Entitlement payments are getting deeper and not even on the table for serious discussion?
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This Obama administration must be criticized for a hard and partisan push for a Collectivist welfare state instead of a land that became great as a result of Darwinian free-markets, bankruptcies, Individualism, and greed. 
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Many economists are shocked that Bernanke is blind to these facts and continues to think it's okay for safe-haven bond money to pour into stocks while structural issues like Entitlement reform of Social Security and Medicare are ignored as if they did not exist. And if at least the Unemployment scenario was healing as a result of most stock indexes hitting all-time highs there would be little to criticize, but that is not case and Bernanke is either sweating or celebrating.
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Nobody can be certain what Bernanke's Fed motivations are but Capitalist Pig Bob thinks he
fully understands his leading role of redefining the risk-free rate of return for generations ahead. He cannot be classified as a steward of free-markets. 
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If today's monetary policies vs fiscal + legislative policies were compared to two species on a seesaw, monetary would be a broken-winged Dove and fiscal + legislative a healthy Rhinoceros. That makes it Milton Friedman crystal clear which end of the seesaw has greater leverage. 
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Bernanke has chosen to dance inside Obama's Collectivist graveyard. Fact that he has not
insisted for greater cooperation from fiscal side may reveal his motivations. And he has never stated that a heavy-handed legislative overreach from the Dept of Energy to the EPA post 2008 banking crisis cannot be effectively corrected by an overreach from the monetary side is troubling as his mandate calls for full employment friendly policies.
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We predict that within 5-years Bernanke's legacy will be just another failed Fed Chairman that go back 100-years to 1914; It's Time to Abolish the Fed and several other anti business Govt agencies.
If you have any Questions or Comments please send them to: Psychologyofthecall@gmail.com
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Whether it is due to a formal University education in Commerce with concentration in Investment Finance from Chicago's DePaul University, having a personal stock account for 33-years (custodial since 1980), formal training at Morgan Stanley (MS) in Manhattan World Trade Center South Tower, National Sales Director's Award (NSDA) winner at MS in 1998 and having to deal with the insignificance of that NSDA plaque melting on 9/11 as thousands lost their lives, a couple Presidential awards for physical fitness in my youth (top 1% in the U.S. in all 5 categories related to speed, agility, and strength), perseverance to win and sometimes 20+ hour days researching, or perhaps some of the above factors with the combo of uncommon sense has been responsible for the PEETA gaining traction from Newport Beach, CA - London, England -Mumbai, India. 



Friday, May 17, 2013

Jon Hilsenrath's Video on Bernanke’s Testimony Next Week

17-May: The Wall Street Journal's Jon Hilsenrath previews Ben Bernanke’s trip to Capitol Hill next week and the key questions he faces: how and when to wind down the Fed’s quantitative-easing program and how to get more Americans back to work.
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PG View: Hilsenrath says the Fed is probably “not there yet” when it comes to pullback from QE. He goes on to say that stock market gains pushes the conversation away from “good” inflation and toward risk of an “asset price bubble.”
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Whoa, whoa, whoa! Did he just mention “stocks” and “bubble” in the same breath? I thought that was some form of blasphemy.

Friday, May 10, 2013

Fed Hints at Potential Bond-Buying Exit Strategies: by Jon Hilsenrath of the Wall Street Journal

--Fed officials see cautious reduction from $85 billion-a-month program
--Fed officials undecided on when to dial down program
--First steps for Fed could be midyear or later; depend on data
By Jon Hilsenrath
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Federal Reserve officials have mapped out a strategy for winding down an unprecedented $85 billion-a-month bond-buying program meant to spur the economy--an effort to preserve flexibility and manage highly unpredictable market expectations.
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Officials say they plan to reduce the amount of bonds they buy in careful and potentially halting steps, varying their purchases as their confidence about the job market and inflation evolves. The timing on when to start is still being debated.
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The Fed's strategy for how and when to wind down the program is of intense interest in financial markets. While the strategy being debated leaves the Fed plenty of flexibility, it might not be the clear and steady path markets expect based on past experience.
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Officials are focusing on clarifying the strategy so markets don't overreact about their next moves. For example, officials want to avoid creating expectations that their retreat will be a steady, uniform process like their approach from 2003 to 2006, when they raised short-term interest rates in a series of quarter-percentage-point increments over 17 straight policy meetings.
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"I don't want to go from wild turkey to cold turkey," Richard Fisher, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, said in an interview Friday. "I think we ought to dial it back." Mr. Fisher is part of a contingent of Fed hawks who are wary of the central bank's easy-money policies.
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Stocks and bond markets have taken off since the Fed announced in September that it would ramp up the bond-buying program, and major indexes closed at another record Friday. An abrupt or surprising end to it could send stocks and bonds in the other direction, but a delayed end could allow markets to overheat. And some officials feel they've ended other programs too soon and don't want to repeat the mistake.
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The Fed's strategy on how to unwind the program has emerged as a source of some uncertainty in markets in the wake of its policy meeting earlier this month. The Fed said in its postmeeting statement that it was "prepared to increase or reduce the pace of its purchases" as the economic outlook evolved.
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The suggestion that the Fed might boost its bond buying was a change in the policy statement that seemed to some an acknowledgment that more aid for the economy might be needed. Employment data in April were weak and inflation has fallen well below the Fed's 2% inflation objective, both points that allow leeway for more stimulus.
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But many officials believe the recovery is on track and aren't yet concerned about the inflation slowdown. Instead, the most recent statement seems more aimed at signaling the Fed's broader flexibility in managing the programs.
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Charles Plosser, president of the Philadelphia Fed, said in an interview Friday that the change in the statement was meant "to remind everybody" that the Fed has "a dial that can move either way."
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The dial can also pause. Fed officials could shrink the size of their purchases and hold it at that level for a while as they assess the effects, or they could make several moves in a row if that seemed right. They could also boost their buying if they lose confidence about the economic outlook. The strategy is meant in part to ensure flexibility in an uncertain economy.
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Yet while officials appear increasingly settled on a strategy for how to dial back the program, they haven't decided when to start.
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Mr. Fisher said he advocated starting right away at the last Fed meeting. Some officials can envision taking a first step this summer, if strong data show the economy is weathering the tax increases and federal spending cuts that appear to be weighing on growth. But they might wait longer, especially if the economy disappoints, as it has for several years during the spring and summer months.
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A Wall Street Journal survey of private economists this week showed that 55% expect the Fed to start shrinking its bond purchases in the third or fourth quarter this year, while 45% expect the Fed to wait until next year or later. None expected the Fed to increase its purchases as its next step.
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The bond-buying programs are aimed at pushing down long-term interest rates and boosting financial markets to encourage more borrowing, spending and hiring in the broader economy. The Fed's securities holdings have increased from $2.58 trillion to $3.04 trillion since September.
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Clearer signals about the Fed's plans could emerge next week. Five regional Fed bank presidents, including Mr. Fisher and Mr. Plosser, and Fed Governor Sarah Bloom Raskin are scheduled to speak. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke will discuss economic prospects for the long-run in a commencement address at Bard College in New York next Saturday, May 18.
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Central-bank officials want to see substantial improvements in the job-market outlook before the programs are ended all together. And then, efforts to boost short-term interest rates might not occur for months or even years later.
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The unemployment rate has fallen to 7.5% from 8.1% in August, both because of hiring and people leaving the workforce. Payroll employment has increased on average by 193,000 per month during the eight months since the program was launched, compared with average gains of 157,000 before it began. "It is pretty hard to say we haven't seen an improvement in the labor market," Mr. Plosser said.
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Many economists believe economic growth will slow in the second quarter--in part because of fiscal drags-from a 2.5% annualized rate in the first quarter, but then accelerate in the second half. If growth remains firm in the weeks ahead that could give officials more confidence about starting to pull back.
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Fed officials aren't very concerned about the annual rate of inflation falling toward 1% in recent months, well below their 2% objective. Because expectations of future inflation have remained steady, many Fed officials expect inflation readings to move back up toward 2% in the second half of the year. "I'm not too worried about it," Mr. Plosser said. " Expectations remain pretty stable."
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The Fed has policy meetings in June, July and September, and Mr. Bernanke will have a chance to explain its actions at news conferences in June and September.
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Some of the bond-buying program's most vocal proponents have signaled more optimism about the outlook and a willingness to consider pulling back from the programs. John Williams, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, said in an interview last month that he anticipated pulling back this summer.
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"I'm looking for continuing signs of improvement in the economy," he said, "sustained, ongoing improvement in the economy."
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Write to Jon Hilsenrath at jon.hilsenrath@wsj.com
  (END) Dow Jones Newswires
  05-10-131920ET
  Copyright (c) 2013 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.



Read more: http://www.nasdaq.com/article/fed-officials-refining-plan-to-exit-from-bond-buying-program-20130510-00873#ixzz2SwC0tzwn

Sunday, May 5, 2013

Priceline.com Inc. (PCLN) PEETA Scheduled

Please send all questions to Psychologyofthecall@gmail.com

PCLN will release Q1, 2013 earnings after close Thursday. May 9.

The PEETA will be sent to all subscribers after U.S. 12 am ET Red-Eye Friday, May 10.  

This will be a true Thoroughbred PEETA with 6 1/2 hours to May WEEK2 options expiration.

If you are not a subscriber you can buy this educational stock option trade alert through Paypal in the right margin for $200.00 until Thursday, May 9, 10 pm ET only.

Consensus adjusted EPS are $5.28 and Whisper of $5.47.
Consensus sales are pegged at $1.28B and high estimate is $1.3B.

PCLN is an online travel co that offers customers hotel room reservations at over 295,000 hotels worldwide through the Booking.com, priceline.com and Agoda brands. In the U.S., the co also offers reservations for car rentals, airline tickets, vacation packages, destination services and cruises through the priceline.com brand. It offers car rental reservations worldwide through rentalcars.com. During the year ended December 31, 2012, international business (the majority of which is generated by Booking.com) represented approximately 82% of gross bookings and approximately 92% of consolidated operating income. In 2012, the co launched Express Deals, a merchant semi-opaque price-disclosed hotel reservation service at priceline.com, which allows customers to see the price of the reservation prior to purchase but not the identity of the hotel. Pending Antitrust approval, PCLN has offered $1.8B for Kayak (KYAK) to aggressively expand its presence into the Cloud. 

Website links

External links

http://psychologyofthecall.blogspot.com


Thanks for Reading, Educating, and sometimes Trading with Us,
POTC-
http://psychologyofthecall.blogspot.com